EFFECTS FRAMEWORK

AQ26 Effects Framework

Short-, medium- and long-term environmental, health and policy evidence framework for candidate source classes.

Frameworkshort / medium / longeffects separated by evidence chain
Core ruleno collapseemissions ≠ exposure ≠ health outcome
Best usereview questionsnot public determinations
Priority gapmass balancewaste in → emissions + residues

Effects framework

AQ26 treats incineration and other source classes as evidence questions across time, not as pre-set conclusions. The same framework can be applied to traffic, ports, industry, landfill, agriculture, domestic burning and construction.

Timescale discipline

TimescaleAQ26 examinesAQ26 must not overclaim
Short termepisodes, exceedances, abnormal operation, traffic, odour/noise, visible plume, weather windowsDo not claim a single episode caused illness without exposure and clinical/public-health evidence.
Medium termpermit compliance, waste contracts, recycling displacement, ash/APC residue routing, monitoring gapsDo not infer local harm from proximity alone or from an unsuitable monitor.
Long termCO₂, cumulative emissions, persistent pollutants, metals, POPs/PFAS watchlist, environmental justice, circular-economy lock-inDo not make cancer, mortality, legal breach or source-attribution determinations without expert review.

Mass-balance question

For every combustion or waste facility, AQ26 should ask: what was accepted, what was emitted, what was captured, what became bottom ash, what became APC residue, where did residues go, and which parts are visible to the public record?